Before the Oscar ceremony tonight, Sunday 27th February 2011, I'd thought I'd publish my predictions for the big night. Not only is it based upon my evaluation of each film up for an award, but on the recognition they've received so far (from the SAG awards, Golden Globes, Directors Guild) and on the political buzz that surrounds them (Oscar loves overlooked actors and performances of disabled true life folk, for example).
In addition (and as is tradition in other parts of the Internet), I'll chuck in my preferred winner, so I can credibly voice my indignation, come awards night.
BEST FILM
Will Win: The King's Speech
Should Win: Inception
Must Not Win: The Kids Are Alright (hey, I gave up after 20 minutes. Zzzzzz.)
BEST DIRECTOR
Will Win: Tom Hooper
Should Win: Darron Aronofsky (bold, original and fearless)
Must Not Win: David O Russell
BEST ACTOR
Will Win: Colin Firth (is there any doubt?)
Should Win: Colin Firth
Must Not Win: James Franco (he'd good, but not that good!)
BEST ACTRESS
Will Win: Natalie Portman
Should Win: Natalie Portman
Must Not Win: Annette Benning (after Portman she's bizarrely next favorite to win!)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will Win: Geoffrey Rush (well deserved)
Should Win: Christian Bale
Must Not Win: Jeremy Renner (a great actor who does plays the same character in every movie)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will Win: Helena Bohnam Carter
Should Win: Melissa Leo or Hailee Steinfeld (both are stunning)
Must Not Win: Amy Adams (I feel cruel...Amy's great, but her co-star's better)
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will Win: The King's Speech
Should Win: Inception
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will Win: The Social Network
Should Win: The Social Network
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Will Win: Toy Story 3
Should Win: Toy Story 3
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Will Win: Alexandre Desplat (The King's Speech)
Should Win: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross (The Social Network)
Must Not Win: Alexandre Desplat (The King's Speech)
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Will Win: I See the Light (from Tangled)
Should Win: If I Rise (from 127 Hours)
BEST ART DIRECTION
Will Win: The King's Speech
Should Win: The King's Speech
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will Win: Roger Deakins (True Grit)
Should Win: Wally Pfister (Inception)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Will Win: The King's Speech
Should Win: Alice In Wonderland
BEST MAKEUP
Will Win: The Wolfman
Should Win: The Wolfman
BEST FILM EDITING
Will Win: The Social Network
Should Win: 127 Hours
BEST SOUND MIXING
Will Win: Inception
Should Win: Inception
BEST SOUND EDITING
Will Win: Inception
Should Win: Inception
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Will Win: Inception
Should Win: Inception
Must Not Win: Iron Man 2 / Hereafter
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Will Win: Absolutely no idea!!!
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Will Win: Exit Through The Gift Shop
1 comment:
Well, I need to pay a lot closer attention to my instincts...either that, or trust the Academy voters just a little bit more. It turns out that Melissa Leo, Christian Bale, Wally Pfister and Trent Reznor WERE all worthy of a windespite my more cynical predictions. And that was nice.
Considering they were trying to make the ceremony appeal to a younger demogrpaic, it mainly fell flat after the spoof opening sequence. James Franco was stoned and uninterested and it was up to co-host Anne Hathaway to inject some energy. Top marks to oldies Kirk Douglas and Billy Crystal for livening things up though.
http://filmdrunk.uproxx.com/2011/02/filmdrunks-official-oscars-drinking-game
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